Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.193187 3.544658 3.925261 4.369093 4.873764 5.431287 6.095896
2025-05-04 2.725233 3.204933 3.761346 4.458575 5.314635 6.338782 7.667824
2025-05-11 2.410502 2.957090 3.624117 4.506528 5.655890 7.119842 9.154138
2025-05-18 2.179167 2.764724 3.509023 4.538152 5.945841 7.836050 10.621819
2025-05-25 1.940522 2.528790 3.301360 4.408600 5.985340 8.197945 11.625854
2025-06-01 1.773993 2.367282 3.169442 4.356828 6.110814 8.674224 12.835693
2025-06-08 1.642426 2.238834 3.066621 4.328475 6.256326 9.182342 14.146608
2025-06-15 1.582254 2.203306 3.088353 4.478404 6.676872 10.147206 16.314909
2025-06-22 1.483909 2.103391 3.005910 4.459582 6.827424 10.693591 17.849019
2025-06-29 1.390295 2.002549 2.912563 4.412429 6.922691 11.152192 19.284337
2025-07-06 1.264645 1.844352 2.719506 4.188136 6.699255 11.037186 19.637310
2025-07-13 1.206856 1.786063 2.676706 4.203716 6.882432 11.651603 21.466982
2025-07-20 1.166619 1.753802 2.674731 4.290688 7.205704 12.570635 24.081481
2025-07-27 1.128011 1.721415 2.669943 4.372079 7.527345 13.527330 26.946596
2025-08-03 1.085707 1.679918 2.646545 4.417723 7.785870 14.391727 29.765519
2025-08-10 1.044194 1.636776 2.616805 4.448374 8.017247 15.228179 32.673183
2025-08-17 0.979157 1.550194 2.506680 4.321807 7.926411 15.381710 33.981110
2025-08-24 0.931995 1.491122 2.440345 4.271233 7.981689 15.851472 36.152558
2025-08-31 0.892038 1.442087 2.388427 4.243538 8.080248 16.426924 38.704315
2025-09-07 0.881026 1.442666 2.425026 4.389970 8.558687 17.923294 44.030902
2025-09-14 0.846833 1.400244 2.380450 4.371588 8.679634 18.601520 47.227060
2025-09-21 0.811138 1.353204 2.324429 4.325536 8.734486 19.127295 50.093828
2025-09-28 0.754768 1.266073 2.188702 4.106451 8.379669 18.599661 49.675555